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Flexible modeling of dependence in volatility processes

  • Maria Kalli
  • , J. Griffin

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    9 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    This paper proposes a novel stochastic volatility model that draws from the exist- ing literature on autoregressive stochastic volatility models, aggregation of autoregres- sive processes, and Bayesian nonparametric modelling to create a stochastic volatility model that can capture long range dependence. The volatility process is assumed to be the aggregate of autoregressive processes where the distribution of the autoregressive coefficients is modelled using a flexible Bayesian approach. The model provides insight into the dynamic properties of the volatility. An efficient algorithm is defined which uses recently proposed adaptive Monte Carlo methods. The proposed model is applied to the daily returns of stocks.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)102-113
    JournalJournal of Business and Economic Statistics
    Volume33
    Issue number1
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2015

    Keywords

    • Aggregation; Long-Range Dependence; MCMC; Bayesian nonparametrics; Dirichlet process; Stochastic volatility

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